The Action Network: Best bets for Daytona

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NASCAR heads to Daytona International Speedway for its annual Independence Day weekend convention, the Coke Zero Sugar 400. Sunday afternoon’s race includes the second race run under the new superspeedway principles package.
Initially, at Talladega, produced fantastic racing similar to traditional restrictor plate races of the past.
I expect the exact same for Daytona, in which the draft should play a large role, keeping automobiles packed closely together. These racing conditions consistently lead to fear of the»Big One» where several cars — sometimes numbering in the double digits — are taken out in one major accident.
The draft along with the potential for calamity create longshot value relevant at Daytona.
Ignore practice occasions when handicapping a superspeedway race — the draft renders practice irrelevant. Instead, start looking for drivers that have great superspeedway background and might be undervalued by the market.
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Just one driver can acquire, but multiple longshots have chances at top-three, top-five and top-10 finishes.
Let’s get into the best stocks stakes for tonight’s Coke Zero Sugar 400.
William Hill is offering a generous cost on Stenhouse, a two-time superspeedway winner. Stenhouse is an incredibly aggressive driver who likes to direct these kinds of races. Stenhouse led twice in Daytona and 3 times at Talladega this year, confirming his driveway to stand out front.
In 2019, outside of superspeedways, Stenhouse has been powerful at the races in which the draft matters most — 1.5-mile tracks at night or with reduced tire wear. Now we are in a race in which the draft plays with the ultimate role.
It’s reasonable to wager Stenhouse down to +1500 to triumph.
Both of Almirola’s Dragon Power NASCAR Cup Series wins arrived at superspeedways. He won the 2014 edition of the race, and was leading last year’s Daytona 500 coming to the checkered flag contact Austin Dillon.
Almirola has not had the season he had a year ago, completing at a worse position in nine of his 17 races, while now residing 11th in the point standings.
However, Almirola directed 27 laps at Talladega but completed only ninth because the Chevrolet team strategy placed its automobiles in a better position to dominate the end of the race.
I would wager him down to +1600.
Jones now sits out of the playoff picture at 17th in the point standings. I think his subpar performance is driving his long odds at MGM possessions.
However, Jones is an excellent superspeedway racer with a win-or-go-home record in these races. He has either crashed out or completed within the top nine in every superspeedway race of the Cup career except one.
Not merely are his playoff hopes on the line, but his potential in Joe Gibbs Racing is in doubt. This race could just be the antidote Jones requires in a year of doubt and struggle.
There’s worth down here to +2500.

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